Kontron (XTRA:KTN) has secured a roughly €20 million cybersecurity project in Central and Eastern Europe, delivered with Darktrace’s AI-driven defense tools. The deal reinforces Kontron’s push into recurring software and IoT security services.
See our latest analysis for Kontron.
Kontron’s recent €20 million cybersecurity win sits against a share price of €21.98, with a 7 day share price return of 12.09% contrasted with a 90 day share price return of 12.01% and a 3 year total shareholder return of 40.52%. This indicates that long term investors remain ahead despite some recent weakness.
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So, with Kontron trading at €21.98, sitting on a 3-year total return of 40.52% and screening on some metrics at a discount, is there still mispricing here, or is the market already counting on future growth?
Price-to-Earnings of 9.9x: Is it justified?
Kontron trades on a P/E of 9.9x at a share price of €21.98, while its earnings profile and market comparisons point to a materially lower valuation than many peers.
The P/E multiple links what you pay per share to the company’s earnings per share. This is a common way to compare valuation in the IT sector. For Kontron, this 9.9x P/E sits against earnings that grew 59% over the past year and an annualised 31.7% over the past five years, which indicates that the current earnings base is not stagnant.
Relative to the German IT industry average P/E of 23x and a peer average of 26.7x, Kontron’s 9.9x appears compressed. The estimated fair P/E of 19x also sits well above the current level, which suggests a valuation that the market could move closer to if earnings trends and cash flows stay aligned with expectations.
Explore the SWS fair ratio for Kontron
Result: Price-to-Earnings of 9.9x (UNDERVALUED)
However, you also need to weigh risks such as slower revenue and net income growth, as well as potential setbacks integrating higher margin software and IoT services into legacy hardware operations.
Find out about the key risks to this Kontron narrative.
Another view using future cash flows
Kontron’s 9.9x P/E suggests potential value, and our DCF model provides additional context, with a fair value estimate of €37.71 compared to the current €21.98. The 41.7% difference highlights a notable valuation gap, so the key question is whether the cash flow assumptions are realistic.
Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.
Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Kontron for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 233 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match – so you never miss a potential opportunity.
Next Steps
All this paints a mixed picture of risk and reward. If you care about the details, move quickly and review the underlying data yourself, starting with the 4 key rewards and 2 important warning signs.
Looking for more investment ideas?
If Kontron has your attention, do not stop here. Some of the most interesting opportunities sit in other corners of the market that are easy to overlook.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data
and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your
financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.
Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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