Is Akamai Technologies (AKAM) Still Undervalued On Tenzai’s AI Security Update? #AI

Tenzai’s update to its autonomous AI hacker, which can now push web application firewall mitigations through platforms like Akamai Technologies (AKAM), has drawn fresh attention to how the stock reflects the company’s role in automated cybersecurity.

See our latest analysis for Akamai Technologies.

At a share price of US$115.18, Akamai Technologies has paired the Tenzai announcement with a 90 day share price return of 10.89% and a year to date share price return of 35.35%. Its 1 year total shareholder return of 54.85% contrasts with a far more muted 5 year total shareholder return of 0.53%, suggesting that recent momentum has been considerably stronger than its longer term record.

If autonomous security tools are on your radar, this could be a useful moment to broaden your watchlist with other AI focused opportunities using the 69 profitable AI stocks that aren’t just burning cash

Akamai Technologies has already logged strong gains on the back of this AI security story, which leaves a simple fork in the road for investors: Is the recent move just the beginning, or has most of the upside already played out on the current valuation?

Most Popular Narrative: 27.7% Undervalued

With Akamai Technologies last closing at $115.18 against a most-followed fair value of $159.30, the narrative frames the stock as materially underpriced and rooted in AI driven infrastructure demand, not just short term trading.

The proliferation of AI applications requiring secure, ultra-low-latency infrastructure benefits Akamai’s globally distributed platform, evidenced by new AI Gateway and Firewall for AI offerings, which positions the company to capture new AI-driven workloads, supporting both future top-line growth and potentially higher net margins via value-added solutions.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious what assumptions sit behind that fair value gap. The narrative leans heavily on AI workload uptake, modeled revenue expansion and fatter margins over time. The exact mix matters.

Result: Fair Value of $159.30 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what’s behind the forecasts.

However, the Akamai Technologies story could shift if higher capital spending squeezes margins or if large AI focused contracts ramp more slowly than expected.

Find out about the key risks to this Akamai Technologies narrative.

Another View On Akamai Technologies Valuation

The narrative sees Akamai Technologies as 27.7% undervalued against a fair value of US$159.30, yet the SWS DCF model paints a different picture. On that cash flow view, the stock at US$115.18 sits above an estimated value of US$103.57, which points to a premium rather than a discount. That leaves a simple question for investors: Which set of assumptions feels more realistic?

Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.

Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Akamai Technologies for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 55 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match – so you never miss a potential opportunity.

Next Steps

The mix of enthusiasm and doubt around Akamai Technologies makes this a moment to move quickly and check the detail for yourself using the 1 key reward and 2 important warning signs.

Looking for more investment ideas beyond Akamai Technologies?

Do not stop with Akamai Technologies. The market contains many other potential opportunities and you do not want to notice them only after they have already moved.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data
and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your
financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.
Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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